By Barry R. Schneider, Lawrence E. Grinter,
Read or Download Battlefield of the Future (21st Century Warfare Issues, Air War College Studies in National Security No. 3) PDF
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Additional info for Battlefield of the Future (21st Century Warfare Issues, Air War College Studies in National Security No. 3)
Given the track record of Iraq, a state that has been at war with its neighbors since its inception, and of Saddam Hussein, whose regime has constantly used murderous violence against 25 BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE its opponents inside Iraq and aggressive war against its neighbors since he took power, there is a high likelihood that the Gulf War will have to be repeated in the future, perhaps against an even more dangerous enemy . To conclude, as former Secretary of Defense Caspar Weinberger once advised, "if we do decide to commit forces to combat overseas, we should have clearly defined political and military objectives .
Surprise has always been one of the most important factors in war-perhaps even the single most important because it could make up for the deficiencies in numbers . Surprise was always difficult to achieve because it conflicted with the concepts of mass and concentration. In order to have enough forces available to hurl enough projectiles to win the probability contest, the commander had to assemble and move large numbers . Of course . assembling and moving large forces in secret was quite difficult, even in the days before aerial reconnaissance, so the odds of surprising the enemy were small indeed.
Nor was it possible or very useful to concentrate defenses ; successful defense of one target merely meant that one out of over a hundred didn't get hit at that particular time. Like the thousand cuts analogy, it just doesn't matter very much if some of the cuts are deflected . It is important to note that Iraq was a very tough country strategically . Iraq had spent an enormous amount of money and energy on giving itself lots of protection and redundancy and its efforts would have paid off well if it had been attacked serially as it had every right to anticipate it would.